UC Merced vs. San Fran. State Volleyball: Matchup Preview

Matchup · San Fran. St. at UC Merced · Fri, Oct 9, 4:00 PM CT

UC Merced

4–10 · 2–6 conf. · power #171

vs.

San Fran. St.

6–8 · 4–4 conf. · power #60

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Prediction

From the power rating, at UC Merced. UC Merced is expected to win 45.1% of rallies.

10%

UC Merced wins · power rank 171

3–0 1%3–1 3%3–2 6%

90%

San Fran. St. wins · power rank 60

3–0 44%3–1 32%3–2 14%

Where the match is won

Each team's strength set against the other's matching skill. Full season, ranked nationally.

UC Merced on offense

UC Merced attack vs. San Fran. St. defense

UC Merced hitting %.171 · 177th San Fran. St. opp. hitting % allowed.195 · 171st

Even

UC Merced serve vs. San Fran. St. passing

UC Merced aces per set1.54 · 180th San Fran. St. reception error %9.3% · 188th

Even

UC Merced siding out vs. San Fran. St. serving

UC Merced sideout %52.3% · 214th San Fran. St. point-scoring %42.2% · 229th

Even

San Fran. St. on offense

San Fran. St. attack vs. UC Merced defense

San Fran. St. hitting %.210 · 90th UC Merced opp. hitting % allowed.229 · 252nd

Edge: San Fran. St.

San Fran. St. serve vs. UC Merced passing

San Fran. St. aces per set2.18 · 29th UC Merced reception error %9.6% · 205th

Edge: San Fran. St.

San Fran. St. siding out vs. UC Merced serving

San Fran. St. sideout %53.1% · 198th UC Merced point-scoring %41.6% · 242nd

Slight edge: San Fran. St.

What each team does well

UC Merced

What they do well

Nothing in the top 30% of D2 yet.

Where they can be pushed

Blocks per set1.23 · 260th in D2
Opponent hitting %.229 · 252nd in D2
Point-scoring %41.6% · 242nd in D2

San Fran. St.

What they do well

Aces per set2.18 · 29th in D2

Where they can be pushed

Service errors per set3.41 · 281st in D2
Point-scoring %42.2% · 229th in D2
Blocks per set1.54 · 204th in D2

Side by side

Full season, ranked nationally. The bar shows how much of the field each team is better than; the tick is the median.

UC MercedSan Fran. St.

Attack

Hitting %

.171177th of 281

.21090th of 281

Kills per set

12.08130th of 281

11.92143rd of 281

Assists per set

11.13129th of 281

11.10133rd of 281

Sideout %Points won when receiving serve

52.3%214th of 281

53.1%198th of 281

Serve

Aces per set

1.54180th of 281

2.1829th of 281

Service errors per setLower is better

2.50236th of 281

3.41281st of 281

Point-scoring %Points won while serving

41.6%242nd of 281

42.2%229th of 281

Pass & defend

Reception error %Serves received that became aces · Lower is better

9.6%205th of 281

9.3%188th of 281

Digs per set

15.08147th of 281

15.63110th of 281

Blocks per set

1.23260th of 281

1.54204th of 281

Opponent hitting %Lower is better

.229252nd of 281

.195171st of 281

Bottom of D2MedianTop

Against good teams and late in sets

	UC Merced	San Fran. St.
Power rank	171	60
Schedule strength rank	100	11
Record vs. top 50	0–4	0–6
Hitting % vs. top 50	.136	.179
Opponents hit vs. top 50	.316	.254
Rallies won at 20–20 or later	51.2% 123	50.5% 109

Players to watch

Each team's leader in every category (regulars only: half of the team's sets). Full season, ranked nationally.

UC MercedSan Fran. St.

Kills per set

Natalie Riley OH

3.47 · 177 kills · 60th in D2

Grace Witcher OH

3.43 · 168 kills · 62nd in D2

Hitting %

Yahaira Vazquez OPP

.199 · 85–37–241 · 575th in D2

Alana Larson OH

.296 · 127–31–324 · 173rd in D2

Assists per set

Kyra Miller S

9.04 · 461 assists · 50th in D2

Melanie Hewlett S

7.49 · 367 assists · 88th in D2

Aces per set

Kyra Miller S

0.41 · 21 aces · 127th in D2

Grace Witcher OH

0.41 · 20 aces · 141st in D2

Blocks per set

Kyra Miller S

0.53 · 27 blocks · 514th in D2

Lilly Rix MB

0.78 · 38 blocks · 240th in D2

Digs per set

Jazmine Banks L

4.46 · 232 digs · 76th in D2

McKenzie Anderson OH

3.40 · 153 digs · 206th in D2

Points per set

Natalie Riley OH

3.71 · 189 points · 90th in D2

Grace Witcher OH

3.91 · 191.5 points · 65th in D2

Common opponents

Opponent	UC Merced	San Fran. St.
Cal St. San Marcos	W 3–2 25-22, 25-18, 17-25, 26-28, 15-9 W 3–1 25-19, 25-23, 18-25, 25-22 L 1–3 25-14, 23-25, 11-25, 22-25	L 0–3 18-25, 18-25, 24-26
CSUSB	L 0–3 14-25, 23-25, 14-25	L 1–3 25-18, 21-25, 21-25, 14-25

UC Merced roster


1	Kyra Miller	S	51	44	144	0.86	.181	9.0450th D2	0.41	0.53	2.57	1.58
2	Kinnedy Miller	MB	31	19	55	0.61	.145	0.00	0.00	0.26	0.10	0.76
3	Mariainez Lopez	OH	36	17	75	0.47	.067	0.11	0.00	0.03	0.92	0.49
4	Colette Ejang	MB	9	1	7	0.11	-.143	0.00	0.00	0.11	0.11	0.17
5	Faith Lee	S	6	0	0	0.00	—	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
5	Jourdyn Ozeta-Banks	L/DS	25	0	0	0.00	—	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.12	0.12
6	Gianella Tijamo	L/DS	22	0	0	0.00	—	0.09	0.32	0.00	1.00	0.32
7	Kaitlyn Anderson	L/DS	25	2	5	0.08	.200	0.08	0.12	0.00	1.20	0.20
8	Kylah Guzman	OH	26	14	64	0.54	.031	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.15	0.62
9	Giselle Henley	MB	18	14	47	0.78	.149	0.00	0.00	0.39	0.33	1.08
10	Jazmine Banks	L/DS	52	0	8	0.00	.000	0.96	0.33	0.00	4.4676th D2	0.33
11	Natalie Riley	OH	51	177	482	3.4760th D2	.191	0.14	0.16	0.16	1.96	3.7190th D2
12	Tangi Netane	OPP	14	2	9	0.14	.000	0.00	0.00	0.07	0.07	0.18
13	Callie Neufeld	OH	45	130	371	2.89	.191	0.13	0.13	0.09	2.42	3.08
14	Yahaira Vazquez	OPP	39	85	241	2.18	.199	0.13	0.00	0.23	1.26	2.31
17	Claudia Aber	MB	6	0	1	0.00	-1.000	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
18	Ayana Ruffin	MB	25	19	56	0.76	.089	0.08	0.00	0.68	0.16	1.12
19	Eve Dixon	S	23	1	2	0.04	.500	1.39	0.04	0.00	0.61	0.09
20	Taylor Crayne	OH	18	0	0	0.00	—	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.22	0.00
21	Morgan Kristy	OPP	24	17	49	0.71	.143	0.00	0.00	0.08	0.33	0.75
24	Morgan Wilson	MB	52	86	240	1.65	.196	0.12	0.23	0.46	0.58	2.18

San Fran. St. roster


1	Gabrielle Muller	L/DS	15	0	2	0.00	.000	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.07	0.00
2	Grace Witcher	OH	49	168	518	3.4362nd D2	.218	0.31	0.41	0.14	2.65	3.9165th D2
3	Aidan Goodrich	OH	45	132	427	2.93	.206	0.18	0.36	0.44	2.60	3.54
5	Rubi Harrington	OH	17	0	2	0.00	.000	0.41	0.59	0.00	1.94	0.59
6	McKenzie Anderson	OH	45	2	20	0.04	.100	0.76	0.27	0.00	3.40	0.31
7	Savanna FauntLeRoy	S	41	1	7	0.02	.000	2.02	0.34	0.00	1.24	0.37
10	Alana Larson	OH	47	127	324	2.70	.296	0.45	0.34	0.26	2.40	3.18
11	Lilly Rix	MB	49	52	136	1.06	.279	0.02	0.08	0.78	0.37	1.53
12	Lindsey Olsen	MB	16	2	9	0.13	.000	0.19	0.00	0.31	0.00	0.28
14	Drew Deguzman	S	7	0	0	0.00	—	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
15	Ayden Jacobson	MB	7	0	0	0.00	—	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
16	Paige Moyneur	OH	37	36	164	0.97	.098	0.08	0.00	0.38	0.78	1.19
17	Sophia Terry	MB	44	21	60	0.48	.200	0.05	0.00	0.59	0.09	0.81
21	Melanie Hewlett	S	49	20	75	0.41	.227	7.4988th D2	0.24	0.31	2.16	0.81
23	Grace Kool	OH	29	23	96	0.79	.042	0.00	0.10	0.17	0.38	0.98

San Fran. St. schedule

Date	Opponent	Opp. record	Result
Thu, Aug 27	at Central Wash.	10–4	L 0–3 18-25, 20-25, 17-25
Fri, Aug 28	vs. Simon Fraser	10–4	L 0–3 17-25, 12-25, 16-25
Sat, Aug 29	vs. Western Wash.	7–7	L 1–3 26-28, 22-25, 25-23, 19-25
Thu, Sep 3	vs. Colo. Sch. of Mines	13–3	L 2–3 18-25, 25-19, 20-25, 25-23, 9-15
Fri, Sep 4	at Westmont	6–9	W 3–0 25-21, 25-13, 25-15
Sat, Sep 5	vs. Northern Mich.	8–8	W 3–0 25-21, 25-17, 25-15
Fri, Sep 11	at CSUSB CCAA	14–2	L 1–3 25-18, 21-25, 21-25, 14-25
Sat, Sep 12	at Cal St. San Marcos CCAA	7–8	L 0–3 18-25, 18-25, 24-26
Fri, Sep 18	vs. Cal Poly Pomona CCAA	12–3	L 0–3 23-25, 21-25, 20-25
Sat, Sep 19	vs. Cal State LA CCAA	4–11	W 3–1 17-25, 25-14, 26-24, 25-14
Thu, Sep 24	at Stanislaus St. CCAA	5–9	W 3–0 25-21, 25-18, 25-23
Fri, Sep 25	at Cal St. East Bay CCAA	6–8	L 1–3 25-23, 19-25, 17-25, 22-25
Fri, Oct 2	vs. Stanislaus St. CCAA	5–9	W 3–1 25-22, 25-20, 24-26, 25-11
Sat, Oct 3	vs. Chico St. CCAA	4–7	W 3–0 25-21, 25-18, 25-18
Fri, Oct 9	at UC Merced CCAA	4–10	Oct 9, 4:00 PM CT 90%
Sat, Oct 10	at Fresno Pacific CCAA	15–0	Oct 10, 4:00 PM CT 11%
Sat, Oct 17	at Cal St. East Bay CCAA	6–8	Oct 17, 7:00 PM CT 43%
Thu, Oct 22	vs. Cal Poly Pomona CCAA	12–3	Oct 22, 7:00 PM CT 30%
Thu, Oct 29	vs. Menlo CCAA	5–9	Oct 29, 7:00 PM CT 81%
Sat, Oct 31	vs. Cal St. Monterey Bay CCAA	3–11	Oct 31, 5:00 PM CT 89%
Thu, Nov 5	at Cal St. Dom. Hills CCAA	2–13	Nov 5, 7:00 PM CT 95%
Sat, Nov 7	at Cal Poly Humboldt CCAA	7–7	Nov 7, 3:00 PM CT 74%

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UC Merced schedule

Date	Opponent	Opp. record	Result
Fri, Aug 28	vs. Jessup	3–13	L 1–3 25-21, 22-25, 20-25, 19-25
Sat, Aug 29	vs. Hawaii Hilo	14–5	L 0–3 13-25, 16-25, 16-25
Sat, Aug 29	at Western Ore.	6–10	L 0–3 16-25, 22-25, 25-27
Thu, Sep 3	vs. Minn.-Crookston	3–14	W 3–1 25-18, 23-25, 25-17, 25-23
Fri, Sep 4	vs. Bemidji St.	13–4	L 0–3 15-25, 12-25, 12-25
Sat, Sep 5	vs. Saint Michael's	3–11	W 3–0 25-17, 25-18, 25-20
Sat, Sep 5	at Cal St. San Marcos CCAA	7–8	W 3–2 25-22, 25-18, 17-25, 26-28, 15-9
Sat, Sep 12	vs. Fresno Pacific CCAA	15–0	L 1–3 25-22, 20-25, 13-25, 20-25
Fri, Sep 18	vs. Cal St. San Marcos CCAA	7–8	W 3–1 25-19, 25-23, 18-25, 25-22
Sat, Sep 19	vs. CSUSB CCAA	14–2	L 0–3 14-25, 23-25, 14-25
Fri, Sep 25	at Cal St. Dom. Hills CCAA	2–13	L 1–3 12-25, 12-25, 26-24, 20-25
Sat, Sep 26	at Cal St. San Marcos CCAA	7–8	L 1–3 25-14, 23-25, 11-25, 22-25
Fri, Oct 2	at Menlo CCAA	5–9	L 2–3 25-18, 25-23, 21-25, 19-25, 7-15
Sat, Oct 3	at Cal St. Monterey Bay CCAA	3–11	L 0–3 27-29, 15-25, 24-26
Fri, Oct 9	vs. San Fran. St. CCAA	6–8	Oct 9, 4:00 PM CT 10%
Sat, Oct 10	vs. Cal St. East Bay CCAA	6–8	Oct 10, 7:00 PM CT 10%
Thu, Oct 15	at Cal Poly Humboldt CCAA	7–7	Oct 15, 9:00 PM CT 22%
Sat, Oct 17	at Cal St. Dom. Hills CCAA	2–13	Oct 17, 7:00 PM CT 57%
Fri, Oct 23	vs. Chico St. CCAA	4–7	Oct 23, 7:00 PM CT 36%
Sat, Oct 24	vs. Cal Poly Humboldt CCAA	7–7	Oct 24, 9:00 PM CT 32%
Thu, Oct 29	at Chico St. CCAA	4–7	Oct 29, 7:00 PM CT 25%
Sat, Oct 31	at Stanislaus St. CCAA	5–9	Oct 31, 7:00 PM CT 18%
Fri, Nov 6	vs. Cal Poly Pomona CCAA	12–3	Nov 6, 7:00 PM CT 3%
Sat, Nov 7	vs. Cal State LA CCAA	4–11	Nov 7, 3:00 PM CT 16%