A real report, written before a real match on October 3, 2026, exactly as fans received it. We've blurred the team and player names.
What happened: Cdndnd Sndnd swept Rdndn Tdndnd Undnd. Set 2 went to 26–24.
vs. Odndn Rdndnd Hn. · Sat, Oct 3, 3:00 PM CT · data through October 2, 2026
Ddndnd Nn. is the favorite (80%) with the best sideout % in D2 (1/283), but Odndn Rdndnd Hn. (power rank 7) has a big middle block and the SDATH's most efficient hitter in #6 Udndn Adndndn. Serve at their weaker passers, keep our serve errors down, and win the sideout battle.
Know them by number
Odndn Rdndnd Hn. regulars, by jersey.
| # | Player | Attack / sets | Serve | Passing | Block |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Cdndnd Sndnd L/DS | — | 7 aces · 12 errors | aced 4.5% (6/134) | — |
| #2 | Udndnd Tndndn L/DS | — | 3 aces · 5 errors | aced 4.1% (3/73) | — |
| #3 | Mdnd Tndn OH | 8.8% of swings · .268 | 4 aces · 0 errors | aced 10.1% (7/69) | — |
| #4 | Ednd Hndndndnd L | 1.0 assists/set | 9 aces · 14 errors | aced 7.1% (9/127) | — |
| #5 | Ndndndn Adndndndn OH | — | — | — | — |
| #6 | Udndn Adndndn MB | 12.9% of swings · .445 | — | — | 37 blocks |
| #7 | Udndnd Tndndn MB | 2.5% of swings · .140 | — | — | — |
| #8 | Edndndnd Nndnd S | 2.5 assists/set | — | — | — |
| #9 | Edndn Odndndnd MB | — | — | — | — |
| #10 | Cdndn Edndnd OH | 11.9% of swings · .189 | 6 aces · 7 errors | aced 6.5% (12/186) | — |
| #11 | Odndnd Mndndndnd OH | — | 6 aces · 5 errors | — | — |
| #12 | Adndndn Udndndn MB | 15.5% of swings · .298 | — | — | 27 blocks |
| #13 | Edndnd Indndnd MB | — | — | — | — |
| #14 | Udnd Dndndndn OH | 4.2% of swings · .408 | — | — | — |
| #15 | Adndndn Udndndn MB | — | — | — | — |
| #16 | Cdnd Mndndnd OH | — | — | — | — |
| #17 | Ddndnd Nnd OH | 21.8% of swings · .276 | 22 aces · 24 errors | aced 3% (6/199) | 19 blocks |
| #18 | Hdndndn Mdn MB | 14.5% of swings · .335 | 10 aces · 21 errors | — | 39 blocks |
| #19 | Hdndn Udndn S | 6.4% of swings · .275 | 17 aces · 17 errors | — | 18 blocks |
| #20 | Hdndn Udndn MB | — | — | — | — |
Regulars with 10+ sets. Shown when there's enough to say: 40+ swings, 40+ serves, 50+ serves received, 10+ blocks.
Game plan
- Serve at their weaker passers
Odndn Rdndnd Hn. has a reception error % of .099 in conference play (9th of 11 in the SDATH). #3 Mdnd Tndn has been aced on 10.1% of serves received (7 on 69), #4 Ednd Hndndndnd on 7.1% (9 on 127), and #10 Cdndn Edndnd on 6.5% (12 on 186). Their steadier passers are #17 Ddndnd Nnd (3.0%), #2 Udndnd Tndndn (4.1%) and #1 Cdndnd Sndnd (4.5%). #3 Rdnd has played 30 sets to #10 Tdndnd's 40, so she may not be on the floor the whole match.
- Expect a big block in the middle, and hit smart
Odndn Rdndnd Hn. blocks 2.286 per set in conference play (2nd of 11) and holds conference opponents to .12 hitting (1st of 11). #18 Hdndndn Mdn leads with 39 block points, #6 Udndn Adndndn has 36 and #12 Adndndn Udndndn has 27. Ddndnd Nn. hits .345 (2nd in D2), so keep using Sdndn (.435), Ndn (.393) and Ldndndnd (.378). Be patient, use the block, and look for good shots over swinging hard into two blockers.
- Win the sideout battle
Ddndnd Nn. sides out 68.3% of the time (1st in D2). Odndn Rdndnd Hn. sides out 60.0% (31st in D2) and 61.9% in conference play (4th of 11). If we side out cleanly, their serve is their main way to score, so every first-ball sideout matters.
- Serve tough, but keep it in
Ddndnd Nn. averages 2.864 service errors per set (270th of 283 in D2) and 3.15 in conference play (10th of 11). Odndn Rdndnd Hn. is the cleanest serving team in the SDATH in conference play at 1.952 errors per set (1st of 11). Free points from our serve errors are the easiest way to give this team a lead. Serve aggressively at #3 Rdnd, #10 Tdndnd and #4 Mdndndndn, and take the high-percentage serve when we're unsure.
- Build a lead and don't let them run
Odndn Rdndnd Hn. has had a 5-point run in 29 of its 52 sets and given up one in 13. Ddndnd Nn. has had one in 23 of 44 sets and allowed one in only 4, with the longest run against us at 6. Ddndnd Nn. hasn't lost a set after leading by 5 this season, and Odndn Rdndnd Hn. has lost 3. An early lead is worth a lot, and a timeout or a clean sideout is the way to stop a run.
How Odndn Rdndnd Hn. plays
- #17 Ddndnd Nnd is the go-to pin hitter
#17 Ddndnd Nnd has 150 kills (3.061 per set, 8th of 87 in the SDATH), which is 20.8% of the team's kills, and hits .276 on 369 attempts. With #19 Hdndn Udndn setting, she took an estimated 354 swings and hit an estimated .266. She is also their best server: 22 aces (2nd of 87 in the SDATH), with 24 errors on 186 serves.
- #6 Udndn Adndndn is their most efficient hitter, with two other strong middles
#6 Udndn Adndndn hits .445 (3rd of 1094 in D2, 1st of 49 in the SDATH) with 119 kills, and an estimated .442 with #19 Sdndn setting. #12 Adndndn Udndndn has 111 kills (.298) and #18 Hdndndn Mdn has 105 (.335). The three middles take 16.5%, 15.4% and 14.5% of the team's kills, so the middle is always a threat.
- Two setters, and #14 Udnd Dndndndn shows up when #8 Sdndn sets
#19 Hdndn Udndn runs most of the offense (516 assists, 10.118 per set). #8 Edndndnd Nndnd has 55 assists in 22 sets. #14 Udnd Dndndndn hits .408 overall (37 kills on 71 attempts), and 17 of those kills, with only 2 errors, came with #8 Sdndn setting. Those are small, estimated samples, so treat them as a hint and not a rule.
- Their serve scores points but isn't wild
Odndn Rdndnd Hn. averages 1.654 aces per set (149th in D2) and 1.762 in conference play (3rd of 11). Besides #17 Ddndnd Nnd, #19 Hdndn Udndn has 17 aces (10th of 87 in the SDATH) with 17 errors on 213 serves. Their serve is a real way to score, but not a huge weapon.
- Late in sets they score on serve but struggle to side out
At 20 or later, Odndn Rdndnd Hn. scores on 59.5% of its serves (51.7% overall) but sides out only 54.5% (60.0% overall). Their late kills are #12 Adndndn Udndndn 7–3, #17 Ddndnd Nnd 6–4, #18 Hdndndn Mdn 7–0 and #6 Udndn Adndndn 5–1, so expect those four to take the swings in close sets.
By position
Outside hitters (Tdndnd, Ndn, Sdndn, Sdndn)
- Tdndnd leads the SDATH with 4.357 kills per set (1st of 87) and is 8–0 in kills to errors late in sets. Ndn hits .393 (3rd of 49 in the SDATH) and Sdndn hits .382, so there are good options beyond Tdndnd.
- Odndn Rdndnd Hn.'s pin blockers have fewer block points than their middles (#17 Ddndnd Nnd 18, #14 Udnd Dndndndn 8, #10 Cdndn Edndnd 7), so working the outside is a good way to avoid their middle block.
- In serve receive, expect tough serving from #17 Ddndnd Nnd (22 aces) and #19 Hdndn Udndn (17 aces). Sdndn's 3.7% reception error rate is a steady anchor.
Middles (Sdndn, Ldndndnd)
- #6 Udndn Adndndn (.445) is the hitter to slow down. Sdndn (0.818 blocks per set, 7th of 87 in the SDATH) and Ldndndnd (26 block points) should read #19 Sdndn closely and set a solid block on the middle.
- #12 Adndndn Udndndn (.298) and #18 Hdndndn Mdn (.335, 7–0 late) are the other two middles to watch.
- Sdndn (.435, 2nd of 49 in the SDATH) and Ldndndnd (.378, 4th of 49) are efficient. Their block is strong, but quick, well-timed sets keep it honest.
Setters (Idndndn, Tdndnd)
- Ddndnd Nn. leads the SDATH in sideout % (1st of 11), and Idndndn runs it at 11.023 assists per set. Spreading the ball keeps their big middles from loading up on any one hitter.
- Odndn Rdndnd Hn.'s middles have the most block points (#18 Hdndndn Mdn 39, #6 Udndn Adndndn 36, #12 Adndndn Udndndn 27), so moving the ball to the pins and keeping the middles guessing matters.
- Tdndnd's serve is a weapon: 17 aces (0.436 per set, 4th of 87 in the SDATH). Her best targets are #3 Mdnd Tndn and #10 Cdndn Edndnd.
Libero & defensive specialists (Tdndnd, Ldndndnd)
- Tdndnd has 190 digs (4.318 per set) and a 4.9% reception error rate on 204 receptions, so she can handle a lot of passing.
- Odndn Rdndnd Hn. hits .301 (6th in D2) and averages 13.885 kills per set (16th in D2). Ddndnd Nn. leads the SDATH in conference play with 16.9 digs per set, so keep extending rallies.
- Ldndndnd has 10 aces on 53 serves (0.476 per set). Keep her aggressive but in.
Servers (everyone)
- Target #3 Mdnd Tndn (10.1% aced), #4 Ednd Hndndndnd (7.1%) and #10 Cdndn Edndnd (6.5%), the three weakest passers on their roster by reception error %.
- Stay away from #17 Ddndnd Nnd (3.0% aced) if you want an ace. Serving at her only helps if the serve forces a bad pass.
- Cut the service errors. Ddndnd Nn. averages 2.864 per set (270th of 283 in D2), and we can't gift points to a team this good.
Three numbers to watch
The season average is 68.3% (1st in D2). Odndn Rdndnd Hn. sides out at 60.0%, so winning the sideout battle is how we hold the advantage.
Odndn Rdndnd Hn. holds conference opponents to .12 (1st of 11). Ddndnd Nn. hits .345 for the season, and the best defense in the conference should still let us stay well above .200.
We're at 2.864 for the season (270th of 283) and 3.15 in conference play (10th of 11). Odndn Rdndnd Hn. makes only 1.952 per set (1st of 11), so the team that gives away fewer free points gets an edge.
Context
- Prediction: Ddndnd Nn. wins 80% of the time (3–0: 32%, 3–1: 30%, 3–2: 18%). Odndn Rdndnd Hn. wins in five sets 10% of the time, 3–1 7%, 3–0 3%. Our expected rally share is 53.3%. Ddndnd Nn. is 14–0 (6–0 in the SDATH), power rank 2, AVCA #1. Odndn Rdndnd Hn. is 12–2 (6–0 in the SDATH), power rank 7, AVCA #16.
- Common opponents: both teams beat Roosevelt, Wayne St. (MI) and Lake Superior St. 3–0, and both beat Wis.-Parkside 3–2. Ddndnd Nn. is 5–0 against top-50 teams (hitting .32), while Odndn Rdndnd Hn. is 3–1 against top-50 opponents.
- The match is Saturday, October 3 at 3:00 PM CT at Ddndnd Nn. Both teams are 6–0 in the SDATH. Ddndnd Nn. has swept five of its last six matches. Odndn Rdndnd Hn. beat Davenport 3–1 (after losing the first set 20–25) and swept Northern Mich. 3–0.
What the data can't tell you
- Data runs through Oct. 2; nothing from Saturday's match is included.
- The pack lists only Odndn Rdndnd Hn.'s last six results, so it doesn't show who its two losses came against.
- NCAA play-by-play doesn't record shot direction, set location or rotations, so this report doesn't say where hitters swing or which rotation is weakest.
- Setter splits are estimated, because swings that stay in play aren't logged. Sdndn's splits in particular come from small samples, and starting lineups can change from match to match.
Written by Claude (AI) from the scouting pack only; every number below comes from NCAA box scores and play-by-play. Full matchup numbers: matchup page.